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Information on ELO-Type Ratings 
 
 
What is an ELO Rating?
 
The ELO rating system typically starts players off at 1500 (average rating).  As players complete matches, their rating gradually moves towards their ultimate playing strength.  Sometimes, if the skill level of the group can be estimated, the starting point (average skill level) may differ.  
 
ELO is based on math and can be used to give a good estimate of the probability of a certain level player beating another.
 
What is a good ELO Rating?
 
In Chess, the World Champion might achieve a standardized ELO rating of 2700 and more.  In Backgammon, due to the luck involved, the World Champ might achieve a standardized ELO rating of about 2000.
World Class BG player = 1900
Advanced BG player     = 1800
Intermediate BG player = 1650
 
What are the weaknesses of ELO?
 
ELO is based on a weighted-average of opponents a player has played.  This is one reason why only tournament matches are used in many ELO computations.  The "random-seeding element" of a tournament removes much of this weakness.  Players cannot choose their opponents.
 
When applied to a "closed group," ELO will do its job and give a good idea of how much better Player A is vs. Player B.  However, it can't tell how Player A in THIS Club or Group would do against a player in a different Club or Tournament.  ELO does not give much information outside of this "closed group."  
 
For instance, if a Club of World Class Players and/or SNOWIE's played one another, their ratings would all tend to hover around 1500!  Another Club of all Novice Players would ALSO tend to have ratings of 1500!  How do we counter these idiosyncrasies of ELO while maintaining the overall benefits of the mathematical ELO approach?
 
At zRoundtable.com, we use various quantitative analyses to compute and compare ratings across various Clubs and Leagues.  We use "benchmark" players to help compute correlations and inter-relationships among different Clubs and Leagues.  We have come up with a standardized Backgammon Rating List which we call a Zuperlist.  Soon, Ace Point Club players will appear on this list.
 
Who or What is ELO?
 
The rating approach is based on work done by Professor ELO, who originally developed this approach for Chess.
 
What is a rampup?
 
In backgammon, it typically takes "experience" (you earn 9 points of experience in a single 9-point tournament match) of more than 1000 (closer to 1500) before a player's "true or steady-state" rating is achieved.  This could take more than 20-25 tournaments worth of matches!  This period of "gradual change" is called the "rampup."  
Where can I read more about ELO and/or FIBS ratings?
 
Check out this article by Doug Zare for additional, interesting - and mathematical - thoughts on ratings.
Take a look at this graph to estimate your winning % based on rating differential.
 
 
PLEASE send comments or questions to moorg@zroundtable.com.  
 
 

 

 
 

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